Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 4.404092e-01 0.577519 0.734410 0.924785 1.147112 1.396217 1.694053
2025-11-09 2.428748e-01 0.402369 0.612702 0.899078 1.267626 1.715338 2.289375
2025-11-16 1.505847e-01 0.316933 0.568050 0.945453 1.469810 2.145904 3.056029
2025-11-23 8.591108e-02 0.239191 0.506909 0.949994 1.609906 2.505423 3.760201
2025-11-30 5.567522e-02 0.202827 0.495131 1.017903 1.838422 2.993744 4.658459
2025-12-07 3.355878e-02 0.167233 0.471687 1.059021 2.026723 3.434908 5.513922
2025-12-14 1.808026e-02 0.133011 0.437781 1.072899 2.169648 3.815552 6.300131
2025-12-21 7.958055e-03 0.100050 0.392531 1.055018 2.255399 4.112666 6.977344
2025-12-28 3.489776e-03 0.080295 0.369134 1.071721 2.395597 4.493955 7.784964
2026-01-04 1.132803e-03 0.062424 0.341648 1.073272 2.506734 4.832635 8.539107
2026-01-11 1.444466e-04 0.044295 0.302036 1.039485 2.549332 5.062912 9.137844
2026-01-18 8.597249e-07 0.031526 0.270657 1.016096 2.605765 5.314196 9.772329
2026-01-25 NaN 0.023869 0.253722 1.025222 2.726693 5.680157 10.600698
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015288 0.222326 0.989978 2.757667 5.898661 11.210375
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012706 0.221118 1.035574 2.952601 6.398808 12.269613
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008904 0.206048 1.038397 3.059661 6.752954 13.109124
2026-02-22 NaN 0.008119 0.213563 1.109536 3.313216 7.366351 14.370296
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006590 0.212074 1.152628 3.509526 7.885939 15.493092
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004682 0.202207 1.167065 3.644698 8.302309 16.459569
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002717 0.183603 1.147959 3.704381 8.586482 17.219150
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001816 0.176263 1.165599 3.846066 9.019806 18.226916
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001042 0.165292 1.167207 3.950603 9.388155 19.134660
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000384 0.145991 1.131356 3.965094 9.592296 19.776872